![]() ![]() | ||
|
Breaking News Late Breaking Industry News
Traffic & Market Trends
In This Issue
Commentary
|
"Stop me before I merge again"
The leaders of these four potentially-smaller giants say they have
"serious concerns with the potential impact of the BNSF/CN merger on the
future structure of the rail industry." In "An Open Letter to Railroad
Customers," Dick Davidson, David Goode, John Snow, and Rob Ritchie say
they agree with the Surface Transportation Board that this latest
megamerger "may trigger another round of railroad consolidations,
resulting in two large systems serving North America." They could be
"forced to develop strategic responses," because they "can't afford to
stand still while another becomes disproportionately larger." As one
industry observer wryly notes, "The CEOs who wrote that letter seemed to
be pleading 'Stop me before I merge again.'"
Would there really be anything wrong with two transcontinental North
American Class I's, fed by hundreds of healthy short lines, regionals, and
terminal railroads? Isn't single-line service supposed to be the epitome
of efficiency?
Is this any way to run Wall Street? It may be a bum rap, but Wall Street
is getting blamed for pressuring railroads to cut back on spending. Those
cutbacks can strengthen earnings and drive the stock price up, which Wall
Street likes. Or, they can weaken infrastructure and equipment, erode
service, and drive customers away, which nobody likes.
To whom do railroads answer? Shareholders? Customers? Contributing Editor
Larry Kaufman, who wrote the cover story, says the answer is both:
"Customers want railroads to take a long view, with sufficient capital
investment to ensure they will have improving service. Shareowners, at
least those represented by institutional owners, want to see rising
earnings, free cash flow that allows dividend increases and stock
buybacks. They want ownership in companies that outperform and exceed
broad averages."
It is rail management's job to balance these disparate stakeholders'
needs, and the long life of capital investments makes the task difficult.
How much investment is sufficient for the long haul? Does anyone claim to
have a crystal ball? For some insight, see p. 29.
Postscript on my trip to Cuba. "I will show you the Cuban reality,"
Ferrocarriles de Cuba Locomotive Specialist Felix Roman Fraga Machado told
me when he hosted my visit to our embargoed neighbor last year (RA,
October 1999, p. 28). Not long after my return, the Castro government
allowed Felix to emigrate to the U.S. He arrived on Jan. 2, and was
promptly hired by the Florida East Coast as a carman/machinist. He's now
earning in two hours what he used to make in a month at FdeC. Welcome to
the "American reality," Felix. There's no limit on what you can
accomplish.
|
|
|
Copyright © 2000. Simmons-Boardman Publishing Corp. |
||